0xF52BD60f8d8344d947Dd9D940Ecf22E4994A5Bf3-1767622582278

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.46K
User PnL: -$17.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $571.43
Potential profit: $571.43
User PnL: -$4

Djokovic position

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $540.99
Potential profit: $540.99
User PnL: -$41.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $499.98
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $440
Potential profit: $440
User PnL: -$39.8

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $326.11
Potential profit: $326.11
User PnL: -$5.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$10.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.98
Potential profit: $299.98
User PnL: -$10.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $297.06
Potential profit: $297.06
User PnL: -$12.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $286.49
Potential profit: $286.49
User PnL: -$22.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $280
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$30.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$12.5

Natus Vincere position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $231.51
Potential profit: $231.51
User PnL: -$13.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $163.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $85.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 24.8%
Multiplier: 4.04x
User PnL: $34.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $28.87

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.95

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $10.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.24

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 6.2%
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: $3.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?