Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $44.25
- Potential payout
- $327.78
- Potential profit
- $283.53
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$20.75
Polymarket Trader
0xf540...92e4
0xf54041e823ef08a15d957b8b1c2780bdef2292e4
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $44.25
- Realized PnL
- $1.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $451.83
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.86
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $70.17
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $68
Yes position
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.19
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.09
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.27
Celtics position
Magic vs. Celtics
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.57
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.33
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $23.13
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.4
Kings position
Kings vs. Raptors
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.27
No position
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.16
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.94
76ers position
76ers vs. Grizzlies
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.6
Hornets position
Hornets vs. Thunder
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will Jim Parillo win the Legend Trade Series?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.44
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $11.11
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.94
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.93
Michigan Wolverines position
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.64
Mavericks position
Mavericks vs. Knicks
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.02
Lakers position
Grizzlies vs. Lakers
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.41
Hornets position
Hornets vs. Jazz
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 68% 140 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 95.8% 180.72 shares
- Will Donald Trump dance on June 24, 2026?No 39.3% 25.45 shares
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle MarinersSeattle Mariners 57% 17.54 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 90.8% 149.86 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95% 179.93 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 66.7% 149.87 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 60.24 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 60.24 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 60.24 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 6% 740.87 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 18.3% 131.57 shares