No position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $83.72
- Potential payout
- $155.03
- Potential profit
- $71.31
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$16.28
Polymarket Trader
0xf54099b4F3819E307eE48e9733EAb34d78eC711F-1747163861380
0xf54099b4f3819e307ee48e9733eab34d78ec711f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $191.25
- Realized PnL
- $307
- Win rate
- 36.4%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $107.53
- Potential payout
- $119.48
- Potential profit
- $11.95
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $7.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $495.12
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $242.05
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.9
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.9
Yes position
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.62
Yes position
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.29
Yes position
Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$38.78
Yes position
Romanian politician Georgescu guilty in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$108.78
No position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$284.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?No 83.7% 119.48 shares
- SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No 64.5% 155.03 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes 4.3% 15,950.64 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes 3% 4,767.04 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes 2.7% 11,183.6 shares
- Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?No 3.2% 483.87 shares
- Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%?Yes 0.1% 1,221.23 shares
- Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?Yes 0.1% 1,222.22 shares
- Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?Yes 3.1% 238.09 shares
- Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?Yes 4% 142.85 shares
- Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%?Yes 3.3% 1,221.24 shares
- Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?Yes 9% 1,222.22 shares