Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $25.19
- Potential payout
- $279.84
- Potential profit
- $254.66
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$33.73
Polymarket Trader
0xf551...95d7
0xf551e392d4856ea64c0cce15e5759fe965ff95d7
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $112.43
- Realized PnL
- $42.24
- Win rate
- 28.6%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $20.22
- Potential payout
- $50.55
- Potential profit
- $30.33
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $5.22
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $18.16
- Potential payout
- $34.59
- Potential profit
- $16.43
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $3.16
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $25.17
- Potential payout
- $25.91
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $20.17
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $22.61
- Potential payout
- $24.98
- Potential profit
- $2.37
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $14.68
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Yes position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $2.38
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.33
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.62
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$17.91
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$32.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 49% 10.2 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 37% 13.51 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 5.2% 96.15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 41% 24.39 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 27% 37.04 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 6% 83.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 32% 33.45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 22% 44.59 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 59.46 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 79.28 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 52.6% 105.7 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 32% 62.19 shares