No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $138.75
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $11.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $16.25
Polymarket Trader
niansi2017
0xf5581d86815ac77a1c5a7da9bc9d7bb7438d8d97
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $570.72
- Realized PnL
- $10.25
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $96.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.65
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.05
No position
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $81.48
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $18.51
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $2.51
No position
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $96.54
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.55
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $4.21
- Potential payout
- $64.71
- Potential profit
- $60.5
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$6.79
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $43.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6.75
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $45.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $4.75
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $21.13
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $3.88
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $14.18
- Potential payout
- $19.97
- Potential profit
- $5.79
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $5.59
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.68
- Potential payout
- $10.68
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $9.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $9.65
- Potential payout
- $9.86
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.3% 100 shares
- Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes 43% 19.97 shares
- Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No 80% 20 shares
- Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No 80% 29 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 82% 100 shares
- Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?No 94% 9.86 shares
- S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?No 59% 16.95 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes 75.2% 13.3 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 93.6% 10.68 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 17% 64.71 shares