Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $132.55
- Potential payout
- $3.68K
- Potential profit
- $3.55K
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$50.66
Polymarket Trader
AMo
0xf562eeafb9acee72ec28e335ca7307fc54ed4099
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.35K
- Realized PnL
- $10.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $2.55K
- Potential payout
- $2.59K
- Potential profit
- $40.12
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $382.38
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $282.79
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$6.58
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $383.47
- Potential payout
- $551.84
- Potential profit
- $168.37
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$18.2
Yes position
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $32.19
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $6.07
- Potential profit
- $6.06
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $948.89
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $756.6
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $676.19
Yes position
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $606.06
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $551.46
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $457.15
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $442.49
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $386.22
Yes position
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $384.23
No position
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $223.8
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.76
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.52
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $199.58
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.55
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $173.41
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.57
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.08
Yes position
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.27
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.81
No position
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.33
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $101.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 70% 292.84 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 92.7% 92.43 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 92.7% 128.7 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 22% 669.73 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 86.5% 333.48 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes 5% 3,681.82 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 86.7% 207.74 shares
- Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 3.1% 33 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 86.5% 5 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 76% 259 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 19% 18.42 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 18.7% 1,000.77 shares