No position
Fed rate cut by September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.21K
- Potential profit
- $17.21K
- User PnL
- -$505.81
Polymarket Trader
Gamblino
0xf56577329d34cc2f6bfaaa97a4652382c52e8bff
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $498.99
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris say "Monkeypox" during DNC speech?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.21K
- Potential profit
- $5.21K
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Trump position
Who will win the debate according to polls?
Ends Sep 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.18K
- Potential profit
- $4.18K
- User PnL
- -$975
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Kamala say "DEI" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 30?
Ends Aug 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$250
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump say "China" 3 or more times at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $769.23
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $766.32
- Potential profit
- $766.32
- User PnL
- -$42.48
No position
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625.22
- Potential profit
- $625.22
- User PnL
- -$40
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $576.22
- Potential profit
- $576.22
- User PnL
- -$11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Kamala x Trump debate most viewed ever?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $468.75
- Potential profit
- $468.75
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $466.72
- Potential profit
- $466.72
- User PnL
- -$84.01
Yes position
Will Kamala say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $421.85
- Potential profit
- $421.85
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $372.4
- Potential profit
- $372.4
- User PnL
- -$20.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $331.25
- Potential profit
- $331.25
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Kamala Harris say "Donald" or "Trump" 5 or more times during DNC speech?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $296.82
- Potential profit
- $296.82
- User PnL
- -$50.46
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $280
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $274.16
- Potential profit
- $274.16
- User PnL
- -$52.19
No position
Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $247.57
- Potential profit
- $247.57
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $127.84
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 6?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.68
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $96,000 November 10-16?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.67
Yes position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.72
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 6?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.09
N
No position
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.66
No position
Will there be another debate?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?Yes 37% 27.03 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.7% 53.48 shares
- Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Yes 99% 179.64 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?Yes 30% 16.67 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.4% 57.47 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?Yes 33% 45.45 shares
- Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Yes 27.8% 179.64 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 8?No 56.5% 53.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on July 8?Up 3% 331.25 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 6?Yes 45.5% 125.63 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 6?Yes 50.2% 120.69 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 6?No 91.3% 80.12 shares