Polymarket Trader

simpleinvestor

0xf56710c938232eb3a18f4116519f02c12fa5d3ef

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.19K
Realized PnL: $6.67
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.8%
Current value: $1.28K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.72K
Multiplier: 7.81x
User PnL: $86.85

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $735
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.26K
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$105

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $175
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $825
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 33.5%
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $115.86

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.28

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.98

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $53.92

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.71

Yes position

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $23.08

Yes position

Will G2 Esports win Valorant Masters London 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.4

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Multiplier: 28.17x
User PnL: $10.53

HEROIC Academy position

Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.86

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.61

RUSTEC position

Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 38.5%
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$6.68

No position

Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 NL West title?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$22.78

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 62.5%
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$120.18

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$200.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12% 6,577 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.8% 3,164.93 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Yes 18% 1,000 shares
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 32% 723.5 shares
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?

Yes 22% 328.97 shares
Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Yes 17% 999.99 shares
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Yes 17% 400 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 94% 9.99 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 95% 5 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 94% 4.99 shares
Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Yes 62% 569.08 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Yes 64% 338.01 shares