No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$111.18
Polymarket Trader
pbezukhov
0xf56eed62ac04fa46151ce8d93f124e3413c5f316
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.04K
- Realized PnL
- $104.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $398.96
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $17.71
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $98.96
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $249.6
- Potential payout
- $250.98
- Potential profit
- $1.38
- User PnL
- $13.38
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $248.69
- Potential profit
- $248.69
- User PnL
- -$210
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $194.57
- Potential profit
- $194.57
- User PnL
- -$157
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $163.47
- Potential payout
- $174.46
- Potential profit
- $10.99
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $22.75
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $81.37
- Potential payout
- $158.01
- Potential profit
- $76.63
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $16.37
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$85
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $91
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$11
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.42
- Potential profit
- $70.42
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.46
- Potential profit
- $68.46
- User PnL
- -$19
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $49.43
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.42
N
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $34.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $15.51
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $3.99
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.68
- Potential profit
- $42.68
- User PnL
- -$35
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $33.05
- Potential payout
- $34.32
- Potential profit
- $1.27
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $7.65
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $28.83
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$21.9
N
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $3.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.1
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$8.3
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.63
- Potential profit
- $15.63
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.41
- Potential profit
- $11.41
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.09
- Potential profit
- $11.09
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$7.8
No position
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $9.66
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.38
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.5
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.43
Y
Yes position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.73
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $3.07
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $2.93
Yes position
Will JD Vance clap fewer than 20 times during the State of the Union?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 87.6% 11.41 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 82% 15 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.4% 8.06 shares
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?No 98.2% 5.16 shares
- Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?No 87% 5 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 85% 100 shares
- Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?No 86% 5 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 84% 119.05 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 71% 70.42 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 86% 232.56 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 9?No 89% 110 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 9?No 88% 8.34 shares