No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $5.89K
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$161.72
Polymarket Trader
newguy666
0xf579036e211211ab1d5d944f1665c394d5959989
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23K
- Realized PnL
- $24.64K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $5.24K
- Potential payout
- $5.52K
- Potential profit
- $284.27
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $885.32
Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
No position
Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $4.76K
- Potential payout
- $4.84K
- Potential profit
- $77.41
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $503.26
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $18.7
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.18K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
No position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $1.7K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $300
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$59
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $104.63
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $4.63
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.39K
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $80.7
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $103.64
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $239.43
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$790.76
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $25.85
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $6.05
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $199.46
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $881.62
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $22.35
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $17.15
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $822.66
- Potential payout
- $886.96
- Potential profit
- $64.3
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $34.24
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $21.2
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $778.8
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $81.9
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $518.1
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$15.9
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $426.7
- Potential payout
- $592.64
- Potential profit
- $165.94
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$103.07
Yes position
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $237.5
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $262.49
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$37.5
Yes position
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $149.99
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $349.98
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $103.5
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $346.5
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $110
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $290
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $302.5
- Potential payout
- $327.03
- Potential profit
- $24.53
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.64
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $82.36
- Potential payout
- $284
- Potential profit
- $201.64
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$158.32
Yes position
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $51.25
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $198.75
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $33.75
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $216.25
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$13.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $928.5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $859.27
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $834.99
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $834.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $799.77
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $696.93
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $675.01
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $616.19
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $560.31
Yes position
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $533.73
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $513.41
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $496.67
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $456.22
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430.62
Yes position
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $418.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5Over 1.9% 52.63 shares
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo?Yes 3% 90.87 shares
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Over 43% 32.04 shares
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Over 47% 10.2 shares
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Over 71% 42.25 shares
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5Over 57% 0.53 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?No 91.1% 321.3 shares
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreNo 60% 83.33 shares
- England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreYes 48% 104.17 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 1,081.08 shares
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Jordan 99.9% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 2,580.42 shares