Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
AdrianADA
0xf58493a5974ec2cb17b633395134366c8af3e58f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $213.72
- Realized PnL
- $930.8
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Dan position
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.78K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- User PnL
- -$337.5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$134.74
Yes position
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Current value
- $206.57
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 6.19x
- User PnL
- $24.28
Yes position
Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.84
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$8.85
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $983.22
- Potential profit
- $983.22
- User PnL
- -$51
Yes position
Fed rate cut by June meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $980.58
- Potential profit
- $980.58
- User PnL
- -$44.9
Yes position
Will Solana reach $250 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $961.9
- Potential profit
- $961.9
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $900
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $853.5
- Potential profit
- $853.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Delia Velculescu?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $846.58
- Potential profit
- $846.58
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $746.33
- Potential profit
- $746.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $705.01
- Potential profit
- $705.01
- User PnL
- -$39
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Anca Dragu?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $603.8
- Potential profit
- $603.8
- User PnL
- -$140
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $543.38
- Potential profit
- $543.38
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $457.09
- Potential profit
- $457.09
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $428.03
- Potential profit
- $428.03
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $389.62
- Potential profit
- $389.62
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $383.01
- Potential profit
- $383.01
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?
Ends Jun 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $101K on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $329.57
- Potential profit
- $329.57
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $5.31
- Potential payout
- $272.1
- Potential profit
- $266.8
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $2.31
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $258.96
- Potential profit
- $258.96
- User PnL
- -$6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $631.08
Yes position
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $182.58
Yes position
Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 15 executive orders in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.35
Yes position
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $24.92
Yes position
Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $24.59
Yes position
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- $14.22
Yes position
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?
Ends Jul 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.03
Yes position
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Multiplier
- 23.26x
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- $1.93
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 10 executive orders in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Multiplier
- 10.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Yes position
Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump issue 25-29 executive orders in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.2% 595 shares
- Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.1% 795.57 shares
- Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 32.3% 66.08 shares
- Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.7% 3,225 shares
- Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 34.9% 5.44 shares
- Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 33.2% 27.77 shares
- Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 1.5% 658.27 shares
- Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 33.4% 164.9 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 14.1% 416.83 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 16% 11.56 shares