Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
0xf58C622A163C92B59EB5bBBbAfD1baD45EB5d588-1776514679463
0xf58c622a163c92b59eb5bbbbafd1bad45eb5d588
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $393
- Realized PnL
- $2.76K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.84K
- Potential profit
- $27.84K
- User PnL
- -$27.84
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.06K
- Potential profit
- $26.06K
- User PnL
- -$513.29
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24K
- Potential profit
- $24K
- User PnL
- -$24.99
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $200.23
- Potential payout
- $8.52K
- Potential profit
- $8.32K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$199.75
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.44K
- Potential profit
- $7.44K
- User PnL
- -$44.64
Yes position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.27K
- Potential profit
- $6.27K
- User PnL
- -$83.66
Yes position
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.76K
- Potential profit
- $5.76K
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.32K
- Potential profit
- $3.32K
- User PnL
- -$120
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $120.85
- Potential payout
- $3.14K
- Potential profit
- $3.02K
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$99.15
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.36K
- Potential profit
- $2.36K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$46.88
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$58
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $71.92
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$128.08
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $635.34
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.84x
- User PnL
- $509.19
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.38
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.2
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $200.28
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.97
Over position
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.32
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.47
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $77.12
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.63
Yes position
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.2
Yes position
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.04
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.3
Yes position
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.82
Down position
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.24
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.71
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.6
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.38
Yes position
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.53
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.37
Yes position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.43
Under position
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver 48% 122.17 shares
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Korea Republic?Yes 11% 363.64 shares
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Korea Republic?Yes 15% 266.67 shares
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to ScoreYes 50% 140 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 6.1% 1,643.73 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?Yes 18.1% 1,106.44 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?Yes 9.7% 516.36 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes 90.5% 442.27 shares
- Exact Score: Austria 2 - 0 Jordan?Yes 16.5% 303.51 shares
- Exact Score: Austria 3 - 0 Jordan?Yes 11.8% 845.83 shares
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver 38% 184.4 shares
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria?Yes 13.2% 136.07 shares