OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $96.88
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $528.13
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$153.12
Polymarket Trader
vacationidea
@HareSaxon36213
0xf58d2e2fa292290e12bf92650a5f240a264ba617
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $101.28
- Realized PnL
- $2.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.45
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $3.15
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $2.85
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $481.24
No position
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $410.42
Yes position
Oscars Bingo
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.96
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.61
Yes position
Will ETHGAS launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.81
Yes position
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.76
Over position
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 1.5
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.45
Yes position
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $86.52
Yes position
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.25
Yes position
Will "Davos" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.83
No position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.58
Yes position
Will "Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.82
Yes position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.56
No position
Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.68
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.29
Yes position
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $50.89
No position
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.66
Yes position
Will Arco be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.07
Xavier Musketeers position
Xavier Musketeers vs. Clemson Tigers
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $37.74
Yes position
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7%
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- $37.44
Yes position
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 54%
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $37.28
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.24
No position
Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.64
Yes position
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $31.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No 73% 22 shares
- Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No 73% 103 shares
- Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No 73% 9 shares
- Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No 73% 8 shares
- Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No 73% 10 shares
- Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No 73% 152 shares
- Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 85-89 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Yes 12% 8 shares
- Will Extended launch a token by June 30 2026?No 78% 461 shares
- Will Extended launch a token by June 30 2026?No 89% 461 shares
- Will Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?No 61% 672 shares
- Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 18, 2026?No 81.9% 127 shares
- Will Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?No 64% 672 shares