Polymarket Trader

fooba

0xf5aada044b90c95bc0832d903fb45d1455b7f768

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.87K
Realized PnL: -$3.91
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$103.51

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$76.13

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $820.26
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $943.74
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $8.58

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.6%
Current value: $688.93
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $622.07
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $9.81

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.2%
Current value: $428.88
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $637.99
Multiplier: 2.49x
User PnL: -$31.42

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 63.2%
Current value: $645.22
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $375.7
Multiplier: 1.58x
User PnL: -$17.32

Yes position

Will 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $395.92
Potential payout: $784
Potential profit: $388.08
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$23.19

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $384.96
Potential payout: $615.93
Potential profit: $230.97
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $18.39

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $230.63
Potential payout: $615
Potential profit: $384.38
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$39.98

No position

Will 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $264.33
Potential payout: $534
Potential profit: $269.67
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $2.67

Yes position

Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $269.29
Potential payout: $512.94
Potential profit: $243.65
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$8.19

No position

Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $202.88
Potential payout: $427.12
Potential profit: $224.24
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$8.01

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 59.8%
Current value: $246.77
Potential payout: $412.66
Potential profit: $165.89
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $18.32

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $206.8
Potential payout: $386.54
Potential profit: $179.74
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$21.44

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $156.98
Potential payout: $296.19
Potential profit: $139.21
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $2.87

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $242.15
Potential payout: $270.56
Potential profit: $28.41
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.81

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.2%
Current value: $171.5
Potential payout: $211.2
Potential profit: $39.71
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $9.03

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $86.84
Potential payout: $184.76
Potential profit: $97.92
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36.8%
Current value: $33.83
Potential payout: $91.93
Potential profit: $58.1
Multiplier: 2.72x
User PnL: $2.83

No position

Will Byron Buxton hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $40.86
Potential payout: $74.97
Potential profit: $34.11
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$18.97

No position

Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $19.31
Potential payout: $65.47
Potential profit: $46.16
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Byron Buxton hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $28.67
Potential payout: $63
Potential profit: $34.34
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Will Brigid Duffy record the fastest shot at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $12.8
Potential payout: $37.11
Potential profit: $24.31
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will another player win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $31.29
Potential payout: $34.96
Potential profit: $3.67
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $2.92

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$4.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Yes 51.5% 176.52 shares
Will another player win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?

Yes 10% 2 shares
Will another player win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?

Yes 10% 2 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Yes 10% 10 shares
Will another player win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?

Yes 10% 3 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Yes 10% 15 shares
Will another player win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?

Yes 10% 5 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Yes 10% 23 shares
Will another player win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?

Yes 10% 7 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Yes 10% 34 shares
Will another player win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?

Yes 10% 11 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Yes 10% 51 shares