No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $577.5
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $119
Polymarket Trader
zenox
0xf5ab415a609dd82a766dac19765bd9695b297538
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $955.33
- Realized PnL
- $96.1
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $285.92
- Potential payout
- $453.85
- Potential profit
- $167.92
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.7%
- Current value
- $13.45
- Potential payout
- $62.11
- Potential profit
- $48.66
- Multiplier
- 4.62x
- User PnL
- $3.45
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $29.37
- Potential payout
- $57.04
- Potential profit
- $27.66
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $49.09
- Potential payout
- $54.24
- Potential profit
- $5.15
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.09
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.5
- Potential profit
- $50.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.25
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.44
No position
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
Sabalenka position
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimova
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 27?
Ends Oct 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Ethena be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 65% 153.85 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 54% 37.04 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 62.11 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 64% 15.63 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 88% 113.64 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 80% 31.25 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No 99.5% 500 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No 80% 12.5 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No 87% 5.75 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 29% 34.48 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 9.9% 50.5 shares
- Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 32.9% 30.4 shares