No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $116.7K
- Potential payout
- $133.37K
- Potential profit
- $16.67K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $9.71K
Polymarket Trader
0xdamocles
0xf5c49ad254b1d53ea0b86fb285dd3f11dc800926
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $234.85K
- Realized PnL
- $92.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $41.51K
- Potential payout
- $44.04K
- Potential profit
- $2.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.89K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $36.09K
- Potential payout
- $36.33K
- Potential profit
- $236.13
- User PnL
- $2.11K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $21.77K
- Potential payout
- $21.8K
- Potential profit
- $32.7
- User PnL
- $908.3
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $11.76K
- Potential payout
- $13K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.92K
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.6K
- Potential profit
- $5.6K
- User PnL
- -$857.49
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $3.6K
- Potential payout
- $4.02K
- Potential profit
- $421.89
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $662.98
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $1.98K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $95
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $1.2K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $800
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.8%
- Current value
- $203.25
- Potential payout
- $444.27
- Potential profit
- $241.02
- Multiplier
- 2.19x
- User PnL
- $16.66
Yes position
Will Brooklyn Pickleball Team finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball St Petersburg Event?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $48.97
- Potential payout
- $208.37
- Potential profit
- $159.4
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$4.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.06K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7K
No position
Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.54K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.74K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.79K
No position
Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73K
No position
No airdrop in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.37K
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45K
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
No position
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
No position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
No position
Over $200M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 99.8% 63.62 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 61.7% 5,000 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 41% 4,000 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 61.9% 3,000 shares
- Will Brooklyn Pickleball Team finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball St Petersburg Event?Yes 25.6% 208.37 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 84% 2,272.98 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 82% 400 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 99.9% 1,500 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 78% 900 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.4% 5,287.16 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 17% 5,000 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 88.7% 1,000 shares