Polymarket Trader

jumpster

0xf5d467d4ddebc037aa13edce4a83d26fdae41243

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.66K
Realized PnL: $920.98
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $268.01
Potential payout: $41.23K
Potential profit: $40.96K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$20.62

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $43
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $68.68

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $165.2
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $634.8
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$138.8

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.8%
Current value: $152.13
Potential payout: $402.46
Potential profit: $250.33
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$85.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $301.88

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.45

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.27

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.97

No position

US forces in Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

No position

Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $25

No position

Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.08

No position

NATO article 5 in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.29

No position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.22

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Trump out as President in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.65

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

No position

Zelensky resigns in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Russian strike on Poland by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Israel strikes Iran by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

No position

Will Israel strike Turkey by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Up position

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on January 13?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

No position

Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Will Israel strike Yemen 4 or more times by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 90% 1,116.76 shares
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7% 41,233 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

No 96.9% 10 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 79.5% 1,240 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?

No 94% 754.55 shares
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

No 91.1% 75 shares
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?

No 99.4% 202 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on April 26?

No 99.3% 41.99 shares
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?

No 96.9% 55 shares
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Team Falcons 75% 451.32 shares
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Team Falcons 87% 222.84 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

No 96.5% 1,142 shares