Polymarket Trader

0xF5D6bE66A565D072822472A92F3B6b87c8E65176-1774207909610

0xf5d6be66a565d072822472a92f3b6b87c8e65176

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $301.29
Realized PnL: $784.16
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $2.37K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.1%
Current value: $72.6
Potential payout: $599.99
Potential profit: $527.39
Multiplier: 8.26x
User PnL: -$27.71

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340.91
Potential profit: $340.91
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $201.69
Potential payout: $338.98
Potential profit: $137.29
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $27
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $273
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$78

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $286.17
Potential profit: $286.17
User PnL: -$108.72

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $254.48
Potential profit: $254.48
User PnL: -$84

Yes position

Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $397.36

No position

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.42

No position

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.67

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $49.8

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.65

No position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.42

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $37.65

Yes position

Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.94

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.44

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.6

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.49

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.31

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $6

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.76

No position

Will Russia capture Bilytske by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.37

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.12

No position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.89

Yes position

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$20.19

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$31.59

Yes position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$140.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 59% 338.98 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 88% 249 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 33% 254.48 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 44% 340.91 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 11% 906.2 shares
Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027?

Yes 16.1% 346.98 shares
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

No 91% 312.82 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 36.3% 835.22 shares
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

No 12.7% 2,368.21 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 42% 357.14 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 41% 681.81 shares
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

No 63.9% 312.82 shares