Heat position
Magic vs. Heat
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $191.53
- Potential profit
- $191.53
- User PnL
- -$113
Polymarket Trader
4trhikljl
0xf5d87acec2baa918e6dcaeb79a0524d079ba2ced
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$1.87
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 36-37°F on January 26?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C or below on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on January 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 66°F or higher on February 3?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C or below on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on February 3?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 38°F or higher on January 26?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of December 29 above $430?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Kim Jong Un visit US in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 41°C on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 31°F or below on January 26?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.56
No position
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.58
No position
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
No position
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.4% 560 shares
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.5% 560 shares
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.6% 563 shares
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.7% 563.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on April 1?No 99.8% 32.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on March 24?No 99.7% 68.2 shares
- Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98.9% 617 shares
- Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99% 617 shares
- Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.1% 495 shares
- Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.3% 495.01 shares
- Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.3% 581 shares
- Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.4% 581.01 shares