No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $232.88
- Potential profit
- $232.88
- User PnL
- -$172
Polymarket Trader
0xf5dbC0C279Eb4B3d46C732bA9F88d96e1A328559-1772112346891
0xf5dbc0c279eb4b3d46c732ba9f88d96e1a328559
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.76
- Realized PnL
- $268.77
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $13.39
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $165.18
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$36.61
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.46
- Potential profit
- $84.46
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $6.76
- Potential payout
- $67.57
- Potential profit
- $60.81
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.7%
- Current value
- $4.83
- Potential payout
- $38.18
- Potential profit
- $33.35
- Multiplier
- 7.91x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $1.78
- Potential payout
- $15.47
- Potential profit
- $13.69
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.85
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.32
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.87
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $34.78
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.45
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.61
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.17
Yes position
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- $9.4
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,600 on the final trading day of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $2.64
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.3%
- Multiplier
- 4.49x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
No position
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$2.03
Yes position
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.51
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$8.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 28% 178.57 shares
- Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes 13.1% 38.17 shares
- Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes 12.2% 44.24 shares
- Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes 11.3% 44.25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No 92% 193.24 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No 74% 193.24 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 37% 159.16 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 40% 58.86 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 40% 76.59 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 31% 64.52 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 49% 40.82 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 52.8% 189.28 shares