Polymarket Trader

Iprobablylost

0xf5df0fe5153db69aef8bdb58608b05e6a5160f22

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $585.93
Realized PnL: $6.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Ilia Topuria position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$1.3K

Conor McGregor position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $380.55
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $909.45
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$19.35

No position

Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.21K
User PnL: -$879.03

Belal Muhammad position

UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
User PnL: -$594

Team Liquid position

LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$10.4

No position

Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $760
Potential profit: $760
User PnL: -$562.4

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $720
Potential profit: $720
User PnL: -$158.4

Michel Pereira position

UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $505
Potential profit: $505
User PnL: -$106.85

Hyder Amil position

UFC Fight Night: Christian Rodriguez vs. Hyder Amil (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$180

No position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $455
Potential profit: $455
User PnL: -$154.7

THUNDER dOWNUNDER position

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $417
Potential profit: $417
User PnL: -$100.08

Yes position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $410
Potential profit: $410
User PnL: -$180.42

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$76

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333
Potential profit: $333
User PnL: -$86.58

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $330
User PnL: -$62.7

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $205.38
Potential payout: $215.05
Potential profit: $9.68
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $5.38

G2 Esports position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.55
Potential profit: $154.55
User PnL: -$17

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$46.5

Yes position

Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.29
Potential profit: $70.29
User PnL: -$16.87

Andrey Pulyaev position

UFC Fight Night: Nursulton Ruziboev vs. Andrey Pulyaev (Middleweight, Prelims)

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61
Potential profit: $61
User PnL: -$20.13

No position

Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$36.5

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$23.85

Team Liquid position

Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.75
Potential profit: $38.75
User PnL: -$20

OG position

Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs OG (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group B

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$19.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

JJ Aldrich position

UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Cortes-Acosta position

UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $403.46

B8 position

Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $378

Rodrigo Vera position

UFC Fight Night: Rodrigo Vera vs. Zhu Kangjie (Featherweight, Prelims)

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350

Kavanagh position

UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329.5

Yes position

Will AC Milan vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $294.68

No position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.8

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $285

Buccaneers position

Panthers vs. Buccaneers

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $266

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264

Carlos Ulberg position

UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260

Joshua Van position

UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.62

Martinez position

UFC Fight Night: Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.28

Talbott position

UFC 323: Cejudo vs. Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.57

No position

Michael Olise: 1+ assists

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.4

Josh Hokit position

UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198

Monte position

Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.62

Yes position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.19

Yes position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.76

No position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147

B8 position

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.25

Sergei Pavlovich position

UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.35

Joselyne Edwards position

UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.54

9z position

Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Adrian Yanez 65.5% 61.03 shares
UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Adrian Yanez 65% 31.46 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 93% 215.05 shares
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winner

Hanwha Life Esports 10% 60 shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Conor McGregor 31% 1,290 shares
Michael Olise: 1+ assists

No 72% 435 shares
Michael Olise: 1+ assists

No 72% 320 shares
Michael Olise: 1+ assists

No 71% 17.24 shares
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals

No 73% 50 shares
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner

G2 Esports 31% 150 shares
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

G2 Esports 67% 300 shares
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

G2 Esports 67% 499.99 shares