Polymarket Trader

baulkham

0xf5e72de981de84bcc33d78d793b92aa337d47380

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.38K
Realized PnL: $3.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.12K
Potential profit: $25.12K
User PnL: -$142.78

No position

GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $374.58
Potential payout: $22.03K
Potential profit: $21.66K
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$92.04

No position

GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $618
Potential payout: $18.18K
Potential profit: $17.56K
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$70.69

No position

GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $2.43K
Potential payout: $16.79K
Potential profit: $14.36K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$236.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.69K
Potential profit: $5.69K
User PnL: -$106.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.65K
Potential profit: $5.65K
User PnL: -$70.01

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.16K
Potential profit: $5.16K
User PnL: -$178.1

No position

GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $950.33
Potential payout: $2.84K
Potential profit: $1.89K
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$95.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $2.79K
User PnL: -$109.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.24K
Potential profit: $2.24K
User PnL: -$118.81

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.18K
Potential profit: $2.18K
User PnL: -$437.04

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.49K
User PnL: -$176.04

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$125.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $847
Potential profit: $847
User PnL: -$65.44

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $846.74
Potential profit: $846.74
User PnL: -$561.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$0.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37K

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $545.75

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

No 22.2% 3,400 shares
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 40.9% 525 shares
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 35.9% 2,311.81 shares
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

No 14.3% 13,391.3 shares
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 3.8% 18,176.46 shares
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?

No 2.1% 22,033.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1AM ET

Up 0.1% 400 shares
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Yes 3.5% 50.93 shares
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Yes 3.4% 34.51 shares
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?

Yes 79% 734.84 shares
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?

Yes 82.8% 6,263.65 shares
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?

Yes 87% 300.45 shares