Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15.5
- Potential payout
- $31K
- Potential profit
- $30.98K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$41.63
Polymarket Trader
fiter
0xf5e814660a5a5ac071390a36122e7bc7c1309fbd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $603.97
- Realized PnL
- $21.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $12.02
- Potential payout
- $24.05K
- Potential profit
- $24.04K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$80.47
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.65K
- Potential profit
- $23.65K
- User PnL
- -$154.91
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $11.54
- Potential payout
- $23.08K
- Potential profit
- $23.06K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$81.09
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.9K
- Potential profit
- $22.9K
- User PnL
- -$70.35
Yes position
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $31.5
- Potential payout
- $21K
- Potential profit
- $20.97K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.46
Yes position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $30.37
- Potential payout
- $20.25K
- Potential profit
- $20.22K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$23.11
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $29.08
- Potential payout
- $19.38K
- Potential profit
- $19.35K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $59.74
- Potential payout
- $17.07K
- Potential profit
- $17.01K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$11.9
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $8.29
- Potential payout
- $16.58K
- Potential profit
- $16.57K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$39.93
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.05K
- Potential profit
- $16.05K
- User PnL
- -$73.53
Yes position
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $7.65
- Potential payout
- $15.29K
- Potential profit
- $15.29K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$27.3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $36.37
- Potential payout
- $14.55K
- Potential profit
- $14.51K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$41.99
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $21.29
- Potential payout
- $14.2K
- Potential profit
- $14.18K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$32.85
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.83
- Potential payout
- $13.65K
- Potential profit
- $13.65K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$20.4
Yes position
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.38
- Potential payout
- $12.75K
- Potential profit
- $12.75K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.52
Yes position
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $18.75
- Potential payout
- $12.5K
- Potential profit
- $12.48K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $3.76
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $91.44
- Potential payout
- $12.19K
- Potential profit
- $12.1K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $17.6
- Potential payout
- $11.73K
- Potential profit
- $11.72K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $3.24
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.52K
- Potential profit
- $11.52K
- User PnL
- -$51.61
Yes position
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $39.47
- Potential payout
- $11.28K
- Potential profit
- $11.24K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$19.96
Yes position
Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $15.15
- Potential payout
- $10.1K
- Potential profit
- $10.08K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.32
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $140
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.86K
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- $55.47
Yes position
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $9.99K
- Potential profit
- $9.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87K
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.32K
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $866
Yes position
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $851.42
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $744.35
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $727.07
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $719.81
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $712.51
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $679.52
Yes position
Will TrαΊ§n Thanh MαΊ«n be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $650.21
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $641.42
No position
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $593.45
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $586.93
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $569.38
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $545.39
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $541.92
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $529
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $465.6
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $458.59
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $421.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $415
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $411.26
No position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 1.2% 311.51 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?No 2.2% 82.19 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1β0.2%?Yes 1.6% 375 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 22% 250 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 22% 1,000 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 4% 150 shares
- Will Adrian VeΘtea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 14.3% 10 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 0.3% 1,000 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 0.3% 350 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 540 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes 3.2% 172.35 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0β0.1%?Yes 0.3% 269.1 shares