Polymarket Trader

Way

0xf5ea0ea9926fe802fc2647aa1b889a839aa08caa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.53K
Realized PnL: $2.14K
Win rate: 65.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.53K
Potential payout: $8.76K
Potential profit: $7.23K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$175.15

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.42K
Potential profit: $2.42K
User PnL: -$9.68

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.48K
User PnL: -$30.76

Yes position

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$98.79

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $964.21
Potential profit: $964.21
User PnL: -$36.04

Yes position

Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $923.08
Potential profit: $923.08
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $535.21
Potential profit: $535.21
User PnL: -$95

Yes position

Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $491.81
Potential profit: $491.81
User PnL: -$229.76

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $444.44
Potential profit: $444.44
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $444.44
Potential profit: $444.44
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $419.41
Potential profit: $419.41
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $413.79
Potential profit: $413.79
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $387.1
Potential profit: $387.1
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $373.83
Potential profit: $373.83
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $344.83
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$100

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $332.75
Potential profit: $332.75
User PnL: -$39.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $809.09

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $426.32

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.64

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.33

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.5

Yes position

Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.12

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $98.07

No position

Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.01

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.48

No position

Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.08

Switzerland position

Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 15?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.22

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.67

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15?

Ends Dec 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.65

No position

Israel announces ceasefire by Sunday?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$23.03

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-07?

Ends Dec 7, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40.35

Yes position

Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 26?

Ends Jan 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$93.61

No position

Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$150.04

No position

Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$152.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

Yes 47% 106.68 shares
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Yes 25% 600 shares
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 25% 40 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.5% 8,758 shares
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 25% 560 shares
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance

Switzerland 69% 21.74 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Yes 33% 363.64 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.3% 448.8 shares
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Yes 30% 400 shares
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?

Yes 27% 444.44 shares
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?

Yes 31% 387.1 shares
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?

Yes 27% 444.44 shares