Polymarket Trader

0xf5EeAc1bd604cBF5F610401f05be5aCdD4755D9C-1771391596973

0xf5eeac1bd604cbf5f610401f05be5acdd4755d9c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.17K
Realized PnL: $581.07
Win rate: 88.9%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $4.76K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $242.5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $57.5

No position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $3.99K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: $162

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$2.81K

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $2.49K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $8.75
User PnL: $30.75

No position

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $2.13K
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: $11.83

No position

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.82K
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $169.45
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $9.97

No position

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $396.64
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$103.47

No position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $1.42K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $80.2
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $60.71

No position

Will Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $997.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: $11.5

No position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $924.99
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $75
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $45

No position

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $607.08
Potential payout: $634.02
Potential profit: $26.95
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $35.82

No position

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $317
Potential payout: $317.95
Potential profit: $0.95
User PnL: $6.99

No position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $251.59
Potential payout: $264
Potential profit: $12.41
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $11.35

No position

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $52.65
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $6.18
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $3.82

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $28.34
Potential payout: $28.7
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $8.54

No position

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $14.15
Potential payout: $26.95
Potential profit: $12.8
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $2.02

No position

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $19.73
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.27
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $17.39
Potential profit: $17.28
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$4.88

No position

Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $9.99
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Fed abolished before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $9.64
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.37
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.69

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.01

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168

No position

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.18

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $25

No position

Netanyahu out by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.31

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.57

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

No 97.9% 5.66 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 98.5% 1,500 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 69% 28.7 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 91% 2,500 shares