Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- User PnL
- -$292.99
Polymarket Trader
maxpain99
0xf5f9413eee82586e7ffce1992deacb02866f9ad6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $192.48
- Realized PnL
- $30.16K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.97
- Potential profit
- $999.97
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?
Ends Oct 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $962.47
- Potential profit
- $962.47
- User PnL
- -$434.28
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $408.79
- Potential profit
- $408.79
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230.9
- Potential profit
- $230.9
- User PnL
- -$37.73
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Cancer" this week?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $192.48
- Potential payout
- $193.54
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- User PnL
- $6.9
Yes position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.16
- Potential profit
- $101.16
- User PnL
- -$52.35
Yes position
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.17
- Potential profit
- $79.17
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.8K
Yes position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67K
Yes position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27K
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $891.92
Yes position
Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $699.99
Yes position
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $462.98
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.65
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 4?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.63
Yes position
Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.35
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 24?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.45
Yes position
Will Israel not strike Yemen by October 1 ET?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.88
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.65
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 20?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.51
Yes position
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.58
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 5?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $96.26
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.33
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 19?
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.01
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.78
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 18?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.52
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 14?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.54
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 8?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.58
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 17?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Cancer" this week?Yes 96.7% 179.79 shares
- Will Trump say "Cancer" this week?Yes 85.3% 13.75 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?Yes 5% 714.28 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 11% 714.28 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?Yes 7% 714.29 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 7% 714.29 shares
- Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?Yes 25.3% 79.17 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Yes 12.2% 408.79 shares
- Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Yes 60% 417.5 shares
- Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 24, 2026?No 16.3% 230.9 shares
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?Yes 70.9% 391.8 shares
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?Yes 63.8% 391.8 shares