Yes position
Will António José Seguro win between 20% and 22% of votes in the first round?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $5.56K
- User PnL
- -$5.56
Polymarket Trader
Vyrgyl
0xf5fbff9abe8db2be11957f4ecce259d076be6eb5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.43K
- Realized PnL
- $11.95K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be 12m or more?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $2.86K
- User PnL
- -$190
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $2.25K
- User PnL
- -$2.04K
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $2.08K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11–11.5m?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$440
Israel Adesanya position
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$600
No position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$880
No position
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $967.41
- Potential profit
- $967.41
- User PnL
- -$638.49
Yes position
Boxing: Will Usyk win by Decision?
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800.08
- Potential profit
- $800.08
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $749.98
- Potential profit
- $749.98
- User PnL
- -$101.14
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $590.56
- Potential payout
- $678.81
- Potential profit
- $88.25
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $159.02
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $109K on May 22 at 5 PM ET?
Ends May 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $625
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $106K on May 20 at 5 PM ET?
Ends May 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $513.06
- Potential profit
- $513.06
- User PnL
- -$41
Yes position
Boxing: Will Dubois win by Decision?
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $481.82
- Potential profit
- $481.82
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $420
- Potential profit
- $420
- User PnL
- -$98.7
Yes position
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $203.24
- Potential payout
- $372.91
- Potential profit
- $169.67
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $75.35
Khamzat Chimaev position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $370.37
- Potential profit
- $370.37
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 36.9%
- Current value
- $103.18
- Potential payout
- $279.61
- Potential profit
- $176.43
- Multiplier
- 2.71x
- User PnL
- -$39.86
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.3%
- Current value
- $222.38
- Potential payout
- $267.12
- Potential profit
- $44.74
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $61.05
Yes position
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $173.86
- Potential payout
- $250.2
- Potential profit
- $76.34
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $3.46
Yes position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$155
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $222.22
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.4%
- Current value
- $136.87
- Potential payout
- $200.1
- Potential profit
- $63.23
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $13.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64K
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $887.12
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $438
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $424.6
Volkanovski position
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.28
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $369.86
Garcia position
The Ring - High Stakes: Ryan Garcia vs. Mario Barrios
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.85
Makhachev position
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.85
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.84
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
Gaethje position
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.71
Yes position
Boxing: Will Usyk win by KO/TKO/DQ?
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.75
Chimaev position
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.76
No position
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $128.85
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.67
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.46
Kuniev position
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.26
Yes position
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107
No position
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $88.51
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.52
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?No 61.8% 200.1 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 43.9% 90.73 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 50% 150 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Yes 23% 52 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 31% 16.77 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 39.9% 112.6 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Yes 24.7% 373.04 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?Yes 45% 60.73 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 40.9% 10 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 40.9% 60 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?No 83.6% 8 shares
- Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 99.3% 159.45 shares