Polymarket Trader

elv

0xf5fddbce23957217451b2517ab03744279123348

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.1K
Realized PnL: $1.13K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $9.59
Potential payout: $3.84K
Potential profit: $3.83K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$47.62

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $150.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$56.25

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $335.17
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $669.83
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: $172.3

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $54.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $945.5
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$34.5

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.6%
Current value: $129.9
Potential payout: $955.16
Potential profit: $825.26
Multiplier: 7.35x
User PnL: $67.6

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $566.45
Potential payout: $858.25
Potential profit: $291.81
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $16.45

Yes position

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $441.79
Potential payout: $597.01
Potential profit: $155.22
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $41.79

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $188.1
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $288.1
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$11.9

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$150

No position

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.1%
Current value: $216.81
Potential payout: $270.85
Potential profit: $54.03
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $16.81

Yes position

Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $7.86
Potential payout: $245.71
Potential profit: $237.85
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $220.26
Potential profit: $219.16
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$25.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $569.23

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.89

Yes position

Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.26

Yes position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.62

Yes position

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.61

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.5

No position

Dogecoin above $0.37 on November 22?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.25

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Yes position

Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.51

Yes position

Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$6.04

Yes position

Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$36.44

Yes position

Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 22-29?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$61

No position

Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$104.99

Ding position

World Chess Championship 2024 Winner

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$150

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$180

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$208

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 65% 76.92 shares
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 67% 597.01 shares
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 64% 781.33 shares
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 42% 476.19 shares
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score

Yes 44% 227.27 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 48% 312.5 shares
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 99.9% 699.14 shares
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 6.8% 294.12 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.8% 1,500 shares
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score

Yes 52% 250 shares
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 78% 15 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? AND Will France win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

2% 253.74 shares