ProcessRelic

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $296.05
Potential profit: $295.16
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $2.78
Potential payout: $264.99
Potential profit: $262.21
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $235.77
Potential profit: $233.77
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.64
Potential payout: $218
Potential profit: $216.37
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.41

Yes position

Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $178
Potential profit: $176.31
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $176
Potential profit: $174.68
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $148
Potential profit: $146.74
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $144
Potential profit: $142.78
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $3.24
Potential payout: $138
Potential profit: $134.76
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $0.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.24
Potential profit: $119.24
User PnL: -$31.5

Yes position

Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $108
Potential profit: $106.33
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$1.46

Yes position

Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $92.97
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $3.32
Potential payout: $91
Potential profit: $87.68
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: $0.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $4.57
Potential payout: $87
Potential profit: $82.43
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: $1.52

Yes position

Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $86.02
Potential profit: $85.2
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $4.23
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $60.78
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$2.27

Yes position

Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $44
Potential payout: $44
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $25.96

Yes position

Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$7.05

Yes position

Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $36
User PnL: -$8.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Ryan Rollins win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $26
User PnL: -$0.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET