Polymarket Trader

0xf605534643782A4d4810456C360eB4B81Bb3B676-1776861425811

0xf605534643782a4d4810456c360eb4b81bb3b676

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $97.06
Realized PnL: $70.58
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $19.01
Potential payout: $19.51
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.23

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $17.44
Potential payout: $19.49
Potential profit: $2.05
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $19.04
Potential payout: $19.07
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $2.26

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $18.39
Potential payout: $18.4
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.63

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $11.52
Potential payout: $13.96
Potential profit: $2.44
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $11.65
Potential payout: $12.32
Potential profit: $0.67
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.29

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.36

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.95

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.95

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

No 91% 6.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 80% 13.96 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 86% 19.49 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

No 79.6% 12.31 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

No 98.1% 7.44 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

No 75.1% 7.44 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

No 75.4% 7.41 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

No 84% 13.1 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

No 67.8% 18.92 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 84% 19.97 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 91.1% 18.4 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

No 77% 6.99 shares