Yes position
Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.53
- Potential profit
- $139.53
- User PnL
- -$60
Polymarket Trader
Sagedale
0xf62951435b27d9e56f2c4f1267d4efb9c842e505
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.03
- Realized PnL
- $18.8
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.61
- Potential profit
- $60.61
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.86
- Potential profit
- $42.86
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.4%
- Current value
- $11.03
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$3.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Carlos Ulberg position
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.1%
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $275M?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 93% 16.13 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 92% 12.04 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 83% 12.05 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?No 98.6% 60.85 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?Yes 7% 42.86 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?Yes 9.9% 60.61 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?Yes 86% 47.67 shares
- Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?Yes 43% 139.53 shares
- Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $275M?No 69% 164.38 shares
- Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $275M?No 70% 164.39 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 82.4% 142.16 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 82.3% 142.16 shares