Yes position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.08K
- Potential profit
- $18.08K
- User PnL
- -$849.93
Polymarket Trader
MegaGambler
0xf63145eb01f26cea8f96f013d8e31840cf8a99d6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $108.46
- Realized PnL
- $130.29
- Win rate
- 55.6%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $108.46
- Potential payout
- $680
- Potential profit
- $571.54
- Multiplier
- 6.27x
- User PnL
- $50.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $173.49
No position
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.01
No position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $93.45
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.3%
- Multiplier
- 3.00x
- User PnL
- $6.11
Yes position
Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March?
Ends Mar 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Multiplier
- 14.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.85
Yes position
Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.06
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$256.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 32.1% 184.2 shares
- Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 5% 1,063.35 shares
- Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 5.2% 1,063.35 shares
- Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?Yes 0.2% 484.13 shares
- Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?No 8% 200 shares
- Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?No 7% 12,960.4 shares
- Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?No 74.8% 1,178.84 shares
- Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?No 79% 755.15 shares
- Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?No 76% 482.11 shares
- Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Yes 59% 143.19 shares
- Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Yes 57% 194.1 shares
- Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Yes 58% 525.55 shares