Yes position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $4.19
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $1.35
Polymarket Trader
Alelthas
0xf63840fa6116b40a1c6f8f667372ddc8b8a52d28
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $160.89
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $138.59
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $970.14
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$40.76
Yes position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $3.92
- Potential payout
- $94.34
- Potential profit
- $90.42
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$6.08
Yes position
Will Rauw Alejandro perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $33.9
- Potential profit
- $32.86
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $3.73
- Potential payout
- $22.58
- Potential profit
- $18.85
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$3.27
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.59
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $12.74
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $8.84
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $3.35
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $3.84
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 1,397.18 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes 14% 21.43 shares
- Will Rauw Alejandro perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Yes 5.9% 33.9 shares
- Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 0.5% 272.25 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes 13% 587.31 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes 20% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 82% 6.1 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 27% 3.7 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?Yes 7.2% 13.97 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes 42.9% 4.66 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Yes 21.5% 9.3 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 31% 22.58 shares