Polymarket Trader

0xf63a...d769

0xf63a5281fa5fb7a58d5e0e44ba935730c1d7d769

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $409.55
Realized PnL: $1.71K
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $21.2
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.68K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$1.78

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $117.67
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: $1.46

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 17.6%
Current value: $204.35
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $956.74
Multiplier: 5.68x
User PnL: $81.24

Yes position

Obama arrested before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $20.22
Potential payout: $404.35
Potential profit: $384.13
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$7.13

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $7.77
Potential payout: $337.96
Potential profit: $330.19
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$7.79

Yes position

Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $20.05
Potential payout: $308.42
Potential profit: $288.37
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$4.87

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $244.76
Potential profit: $244.63
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.88

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $174.96
Potential profit: $174.7
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.74

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $4.22
Potential payout: $168.94
Potential profit: $164.72
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$3.78

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $5.65
Potential payout: $114.22
Potential profit: $108.57
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $2.78
Potential payout: $51.07
Potential profit: $48.29
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $3.67
Potential payout: $47.67
Potential profit: $44
Multiplier: 12.99x
User PnL: $2.24

Yes position

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $30.57
Potential profit: $29
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$0.57

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-3.5)

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.36
Potential profit: $23.36
User PnL: -$2.92

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $792.95

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.98

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.46

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.39

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.75

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 42.4%
Multiplier: 2.36x
User PnL: $50.06

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.8

Yes position

Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.49

Over position

Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.41

Yes position

Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.12

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-5.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.92

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.97

Over position

Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.08

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.44

No position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.35

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.82

Yes position

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $12.52

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Sweden?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.27

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Yes 64.8% 207.9 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.3% 479.74 shares
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 3 Germany?

Yes 3.8% 99.74 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.1% 50 shares
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 3 Germany?

Yes 4.6% 60.22 shares
Obama arrested before 2027?

Yes 3.7% 80 shares
Spread: Germany (-3.5)

Germany 12.5% 23.36 shares
Obama arrested before 2027?

Yes 4.1% 76 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 51.07 shares
Obama arrested before 2027?

Yes 4.7% 65 shares
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Ghana?

Yes 9% 21.89 shares
Obama arrested before 2027?

Yes 4.6% 45 shares