Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.77K
- Potential profit
- $3.77K
- User PnL
- -$49.83
Polymarket Trader
0xf63b4119AD71204B6E944171A22d3F9FbfBbE23d-1779911398207
0xf63b4119ad71204b6e944171a22d3f9fbfbbe23d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $159.12
- Realized PnL
- $965.36
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $31.52
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$5.08
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $21.85
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $5.28
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- User PnL
- -$243.52
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $43.55
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $27.95
Yes position
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $998.5
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $850.28
- Potential profit
- $850.28
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $14.98
- Potential payout
- $788.4
- Potential profit
- $773.42
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$15.65
Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $497.75
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $498.25
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $498.25
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $6.13
- Potential payout
- $422.93
- Potential profit
- $416.8
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$23.68
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $6.42
- Potential payout
- $388.89
- Potential profit
- $382.47
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $13.57
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $343.57
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between May 25 and May 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $354.16
- Potential profit
- $354.16
- User PnL
- -$18.52
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $348.16
- Potential profit
- $348.16
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.41
- Potential profit
- $312.41
- User PnL
- -$18.36
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $11.85
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $288.15
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $257.22
- Potential profit
- $257.22
- User PnL
- -$28.76
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.55
- Potential profit
- $185.55
- User PnL
- -$30
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $679.18
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.35
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.52
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 2.7% 185.47 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?No 2.5% 200 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.2% 138.89 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 4.2% 357.14 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?Yes 12.7% 78.46 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?Yes 12% 83.33 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.1% 141.25 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?Yes 11% 136.36 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 113.63 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 16.2% 185.55 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.3% 220 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?Yes 10.6% 122.21 shares