Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $32.47
- Potential profit
- $27.97
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Polymarket Trader
0xF641F97dCc9710B49F2D88D5694879165b448Bbc-1775077072341
0xf641f97dcc9710b49f2d88d5694879165b448bbc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.67
- Realized PnL
- $26.01
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $6.17
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $25.08
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.98
- Potential profit
- $26.98
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.08
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "God" on the Will Cain Show?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Thank You" during his next video?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" during his next video?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
Yes position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $1.47
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 20)
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Yes position
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Trump" 10+ times during NYC rally?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.34
Yes position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.37
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?No 68% 12.12 shares
- Will "Instagram" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 8?No 52.1% 16.32 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?No 62% 14.85 shares
- Will Trump say "MIT" or "Massachusetts Institute of Technology" during Wisconsin events?No 99.9% 9.38 shares
- Will Trump say "MIT" or "Massachusetts Institute of Technology" during Wisconsin events?No 64.1% 9.38 shares
- Will Trump say "MIT" or "Massachusetts Institute of Technology" during Wisconsin events?No 8% 40 shares
- Will Trump say "President Xi" during Wisconsin events?No 0.1% 20 shares
- Will Trump say "Soybean" during Wisconsin events?No 8% 4.3 shares
- Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 19% 14.38 shares
- Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 34% 14.38 shares
- Will Trump say "MIT" or "Massachusetts Institute of Technology" during Wisconsin events?No 67.5% 40 shares
- Will "Instagram" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 8?No 49% 16.33 shares