Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.93
- Potential profit
- $137.93
- User PnL
- -$4
Polymarket Trader
MarmadukeFeatherstonehaugh
0xf64297ed1249d5b845577b94e729821a98f52ac1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.36
- Realized PnL
- -$8.52
- Win rate
- 22.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $35.36
- Potential payout
- $41.11
- Potential profit
- $5.76
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$1.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Utah State Aggies position
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.36
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.37
No position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Red Wings position
Red Wings vs. Lightning
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$130
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 90% 41.11 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 92.2% 97.05 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 91.7% 97.06 shares
- Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?Yes 2.9% 137.93 shares
- Red Wings vs. LightningRed Wings 37% 351.35 shares
- Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No 98.2% 218.49 shares
- Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No 98.4% 218.5 shares
- Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova WildcatsUtah State Aggies 55% 293.8 shares
- Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.1% 100 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.3% 100 shares
- Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.1% 100 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.4% 100 shares