No position
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $74.5
- Potential payout
- $77
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $7.66
Polymarket Trader
vbnyu1
0xf644f638a8d96a8a48818b93aac2639c7ef21c77
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $165.93
- Realized PnL
- $20.57
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $42.48
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $5.52
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $39.18
- Potential payout
- $41
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $9.78
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.54
- Potential profit
- $2.54
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.58
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $6.8
No position
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
No position
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 92% 41 shares
- Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No 86.8% 25 shares
- Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No 86.8% 52 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 95.8% 10 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No 87% 48 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 95.6% 7 shares
- Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?No 92% 32 shares
- Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?No 92.4% 34 shares
- Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 92% 63 shares
- Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?No 92% 32 shares
- Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?No 92.6% 34 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 96% 7 shares