Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $8.92
- Potential profit
- $8.25
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Polymarket Trader
anthony58
0xf657e409543377ed703c3f32b41aab30bcb6ac2a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.53
- Realized PnL
- $45.37
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $5.37
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.85
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.81
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $2.46
- Potential payout
- $3.44
- Potential profit
- $0.98
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $2.61
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Yes position
Maduro guilty of all counts?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $1.94
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $2.33
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.44
- Potential payout
- $1.79
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.65
- Potential profit
- $1.65
- User PnL
- -$1.09
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.62
- Potential payout
- $1.63
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $1.49
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $1.41
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $1.23
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $1.19
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 23?
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.51
Yes position
OpenAI browser by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.77
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29
Yes position
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
Yes position
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 66% 1.65 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes 71% 1.44 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 61% 1.75 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 69% 1.68 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes 63% 1.71 shares
- Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?Yes 6.2% 9.32 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 89% 1.19 shares
- Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?Yes 17% 6.12 shares
- Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?Yes 34% 3.21 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 12% 8.92 shares
- Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?No 88% 1.22 shares
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No 94.2% 1.16 shares