Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $29.18
- Potential payout
- $402.46
- Potential profit
- $373.28
- Multiplier
- 13.79x
- User PnL
- -$183.83
Polymarket Trader
0xf67668A3Fe7E522d5f76DaB55790E654978C0158-1775585989235
0xf67668a3fe7e522d5f76dab55790e654978c0158
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.18
- Realized PnL
- $198.58
- Win rate
- 30.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $632.39
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.93
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.5
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $28.04
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$8.33
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.64
Yes position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.76
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$52.15
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$54.54
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$82.28
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$105.79
Yes position
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$194.69
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$295.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 52.9% 402.45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 39% 521.73 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 46% 521.74 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 29% 833.33 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 30% 833.33 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 59% 292.31 shares
- Kash Patel out by April 30?Yes 13% 197.69 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 6% 1,000 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 49.4% 292.31 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 30% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 22% 204.08 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes 35.9% 819.44 shares