Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $29.81
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $7.22
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Polymarket Trader
sevenmoney
0xf679db40b90d92dfe15a157b8f6e6d5d3d8f17c2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $100.68
- Realized PnL
- $288.85
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $21.51
- Potential payout
- $25.16
- Potential profit
- $3.65
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.51
United States position
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $2.26
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $9.7
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $2.2
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Germany position
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $11.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Spain position
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $11.49
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
England position
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $1.42
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
France position
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $9.83
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.45
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.69
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.98
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.24
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.23
No position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C or higher on March 21?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
No position
Another US bank failure by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes 84% 11.9 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 81% 24.69 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 80% 12.5 shares
- Spain vs. Austria: Team to AdvanceSpain 87% 11.49 shares
- England vs. DR Congo: Team to AdvanceEngland 88% 11.36 shares
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceUnited States 82% 12.2 shares
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceGermany 86% 11.63 shares
- France vs. Sweden: Team to AdvanceFrance 90% 11.11 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 79% 12.66 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 81% 12.35 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes 54% 18.52 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.9% 210.08 shares