sacapara

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.69K
Potential profit: $35.69K
User PnL: -$35.69

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.2K
Potential profit: $5.2K
User PnL: -$14.96

No position

Will Trump say "Cookie" this week?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $228.89
Potential profit: $228.89
User PnL: -$2.12

No position

Will Trump post "Crime" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $218.09
Potential profit: $218.09
User PnL: -$1.11

No position

Will Trump say "Space" or "Moon" this week?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.89
Potential profit: $123.89
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.69
Potential profit: $119.69
User PnL: -$5.61

Yes position

Trump out as President by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $106.11
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.09
Potential profit: $109.09
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $67.97
Potential profit: $67.67
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.11
Potential profit: $66.11
User PnL: -$8.7

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.64
Potential profit: $59.64
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.56
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.45
Potential profit: $58.45
User PnL: -$14.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET