Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $20.76
- Potential payout
- $52.57
- Potential profit
- $31.8
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $12.2
Polymarket Trader
v497c8ysbjss
0xf69124e7cad24c179c0541f49a31c1c74fa23ec1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.45
- Realized PnL
- $34.81
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $5.47
- Potential payout
- $12.42
- Potential profit
- $6.96
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $3.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.85
- Potential payout
- $4.85
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.77
- Potential profit
- $4.77
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $4.6
- Potential profit
- $3.84
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $2.19
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $1.84
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- $9.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 35°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 8°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on July 2?Yes 21% 4.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 2?Yes 12% 12.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 3?No 98% 2.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 2?Yes 22% 4.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 2?Yes 17% 15.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 2?No 67% 1.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 2?No 67% 4.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 2?Yes 16% 37.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 2?Yes 19% 4.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 2?No 73% 9.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 2?Yes 23% 17.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 2?Yes 16.5% 56.61 shares