No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0xF699c3Dc4a1cA76D33E6db15eC6145cbdab112cF-1766074235023
0xf699c3dc4a1ca76d33e6db15ec6145cbdab112cf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $68.72
- Realized PnL
- $313.85
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.96
- Potential profit
- $399.96
- User PnL
- -$213.98
Yes position
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $13
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $187
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$31
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $22.81
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $11.37
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.37
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $10.85
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will India join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.7
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $9.66
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $1.1
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.12
No position
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.27
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.52
Yes position
Will Trump post "Ass" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.42
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
No position
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.04
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 23?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes 84% 1.19 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 81% 12.35 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No 88% 11.36 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 84% 11.9 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes 91% 1.1 shares
- Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 1.3% 76.92 shares
- Will Trump post "Ass" on Truth Social this week?Yes 28% 16.83 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 21% 4.76 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 94.5% 1.06 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 90.8% 1.1 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No 0.6% 666.67 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No 0.6% 166.67 shares