Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.2K
- Potential profit
- $5.2K
- User PnL
- -$20.81
Polymarket Trader
TheRealestJOE
0xf69f5216c2dc18213f499413745ef64a2302807c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $448.97
- Realized PnL
- $1.13K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $332.26
- Potential payout
- $379.72
- Potential profit
- $47.47
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $22.09
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $116.71
- Potential payout
- $120.2
- Potential profit
- $3.49
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $5.85
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.17
- Potential profit
- $104.17
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$7.2
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.48
- Potential profit
- $8.48
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.36
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.07
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.57
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.62
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.98
No position
Will MrBeast hit 470 million subscribers by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.84
Yes position
Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.55
No position
Bitcoin above $99,000 on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.4
No position
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.01
No position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 11?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.78
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.57
Yes position
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.79
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.5
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.79
No position
Will MrBeast hit 110 billion views by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.99
No position
Will Gold hit $3,000 before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.2
Yes position
Will USD reach 1.6M Iranian rials by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.03
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.58
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.12
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.11
No position
Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.48
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.12
No position
Will GL/PvdA win the fewest seats in the next Netherlands General Election?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will Russia capture Siversk before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 26?Down 99.9% 3,136.65 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 25?Up 99.9% 1,476.01 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 23?Down 99.9% 31.18 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?Yes 92.2% 120.2 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?Up 98.8% 100 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?Up 98% 10 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 18?Up 99.9% 1,726.41 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 16?Up 1% 25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 87% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 83% 179.72 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11?Up 99.9% 4,114 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10?Down 99.9% 4,110 shares