Polymarket Trader

MrFranko

0xf6b1bd94e7dca67b6ade7b60bb6d063cb978aaad

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.09K
Realized PnL: $14.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$70

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
User PnL: -$188.91

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $570.78
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $874.23
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$7.23

Yes position

Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $754.38
Potential profit: $754.38
User PnL: -$3.77

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $7.76
Potential payout: $674.68
Potential profit: $666.92
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$57.69

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $624.99
Potential profit: $624.99
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $212.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $287.5
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$42.5

No position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $90
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $410
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$85

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$374

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.8%
Current value: $245.37
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $54.63
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $121.17

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $295.95
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $4.05
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $67.95

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $162
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $138
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$105.3

No position

Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $249.61
Potential payout: $249.99
Potential profit: $0.38
User PnL: $39.62

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$153.92

Zverev position

Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.82
Potential profit: $158.82
User PnL: -$100

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$67

No position

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $49.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $50.5
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $52
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $48
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.4%
Current value: $50.44
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $49.56
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$1.56

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $99.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.85
User PnL: $8.15

Yes position

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.95
Potential profit: $78.95
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79K

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69K

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.34ºC in January 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $765.97

Yes position

Yoon arrested by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $715.19

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $678

Yes position

Will Trudeau resign by Friday?

Ends Jan 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $542.92

Yes position

Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $386.14

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Fauci?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $354.99

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $332.69

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.45

Yes position

New Pope in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298

Yes position

TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $278.37

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $250.4

Timberwolves position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends Jan 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245

No position

Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.61

Yes position

Will Biden issue more pardons than Trump?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $218.04

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in March 2025?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.62

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.03

No position

Gold missing from Fort Knox?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5)

Zverev 63% 158.82 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 77% 200 shares
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?

Yes 54% 100 shares
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

No 52% 100 shares
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

No 50% 100 shares
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17?

Yes 70% 42.86 shares
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?

Yes 38% 78.95 shares
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17?

Yes 71% 42.25 shares
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-17?

Yes 39% 76.92 shares
Will FC Midtjylland vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw?

Yes 54.6% 54.96 shares
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?

Yes 67% 44.78 shares
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?

Yes 70% 42.86 shares