Polymarket Trader

21claw

0xf6beafa72d6416525c4cf039c9c122883dbef6a3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $729.62
Realized PnL: $10.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $11.3
Potential payout: $941.27
Potential profit: $929.97
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$88.7

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $107.25
Potential payout: $351.65
Potential profit: $244.4
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $8.32

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $333.13
Potential profit: $327.14
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$93.94

Under position

Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $279.79
Potential profit: $279.65
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.34

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $3.11
Potential payout: $258.92
Potential profit: $255.81
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$45.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $224.21
Potential profit: $224.1
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$49.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $25.96
Potential payout: $192.29
Potential profit: $166.33
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$23.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $167.54
Potential profit: $167.46
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.47

Yes position

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $4.53
Potential payout: $161.81
Potential profit: $157.28
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$45.47

4M position

Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs 4M (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group A

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $106.25
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $3.13

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $148.47
Potential payout: $148.84
Potential profit: $0.37
User PnL: $64.12

No position

Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $130.47
Potential profit: $130.4
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.5

ODDIK Academy position

Counter-Strike: ALKA vs ODDIK Academy (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group D

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $64.56
Potential payout: $130.43
Potential profit: $65.87
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $35.87

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $59.29
Potential payout: $121
Potential profit: $61.71
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $16.22

Santiago Rodriguez Taverna position

Asuncion 2: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $7.56
Potential payout: $116.24
Potential profit: $108.68
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$40.1

Nick Hardt position

Asuncion 2: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Nick Hardt

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $46.58
Potential payout: $113.61
Potential profit: $67.03
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$1.14

Over position

Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $106.36
Potential profit: $106.31
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$47.81

No position

Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $34.14
Potential payout: $101.92
Potential profit: $67.78
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $4.59

No position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $14.3
Potential payout: $98.61
Potential profit: $84.31
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$15.28

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $41.66
Potential payout: $87.71
Potential profit: $46.05
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$6.58

No position

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $21.86
Potential payout: $85.71
Potential profit: $63.85
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Portugal leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $84.92
Potential profit: $84.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.62

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $65.1
Potential payout: $71.15
Potential profit: $6.05
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $32.89

Yes position

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $17.46
Potential payout: $58.21
Potential profit: $40.75
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$1.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $761.07

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $707.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $603.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $589.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $515.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $478.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $466.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $461.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $455.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $411.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $385.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $368.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $367.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $346.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $333.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $327.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $321.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $312.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $311.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 18?

Yes 38.7% 5.55 shares
Asuncion 2: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Nick Hardt

Nick Hardt 42% 113.61 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 40% 238.09 shares
Asuncion 2: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna

Santiago Rodriguez Taverna 41% 116.24 shares
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5

Over 45% 106.36 shares
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First Half

No 15% 130.47 shares
Portugal leading at halftime?

Yes 23.2% 84.92 shares
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?

No 43.5% 45.54 shares
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Under 7% 279.79 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Up 34% 28.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Up 38% 25.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Up 32.8% 29.15 shares