Yes position
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $635.18
- Potential payout
- $6.69K
- Potential profit
- $6.05K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$664.82
Polymarket Trader
0xf6C3955366511Ad8D06b7017e5F65152dEeA5928-1775197030575
0xf6c3955366511ad8d06b7017e5f65152deea5928
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.04K
- Realized PnL
- $1.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.94K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$836.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $995.5
- Potential profit
- $995.5
- User PnL
- -$980.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $404.92
- Potential payout
- $406.34
- Potential profit
- $1.42
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.99
- Potential profit
- $13.99
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $774.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.21
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.73
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.27
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.07
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.19
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.97
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C or higher on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 17?No 99.7% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 17?No 99.7% 396.34 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 15.2% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.6% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 23% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 16.3% 200 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 13?No 99.9% 78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 13?No 99.7% 1,075.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 13?No 99.4% 167 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 13?No 99.4% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 13?No 99% 130 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 13?No 99.6% 78 shares