Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $2.43K
- Potential payout
- $9.15K
- Potential profit
- $6.73K
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.33K
Polymarket Trader
6idontknow123451334
0xf6c9bf136dd67afb78942ce6f5e9ff64ef031c13
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.67K
- Realized PnL
- $3.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.89K
- Potential profit
- $3.89K
- User PnL
- -$1.01K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- User PnL
- -$628.34
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- User PnL
- -$138.55
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- User PnL
- -$50.16
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $512.59
- Potential payout
- $527.08
- Potential profit
- $14.49
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $112
Yes position
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.6%
- Current value
- $154.96
- Potential payout
- $332.53
- Potential profit
- $177.57
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$80.59
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $293.62
- Potential payout
- $304.58
- Potential profit
- $10.96
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $46.91
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $90.28
- Potential payout
- $144.45
- Potential profit
- $54.17
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$14.55
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $63 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $106.83
- Potential payout
- $112.75
- Potential profit
- $5.92
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $4.23
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $16.1
- Potential payout
- $74.88
- Potential profit
- $58.78
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$7.11
N
No position
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $32.38
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $56 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $23.9
- Potential payout
- $24.32
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.81
Yes position
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $13.44
- Potential payout
- $15.2
- Potential profit
- $1.76
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $6.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $604.41
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.23
Yes position
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.42
No position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.61
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $237.07
No position
Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.41
No position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.56
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.74
No position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.54
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $56.4
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.3%
- Multiplier
- 6.13x
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Khamenei seen in public by March 1?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.72
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $34.7
No position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by June 5?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.29
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.14
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.45
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 46.51x
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.05
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.77
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.92
Yes position
Will Trump endorse Ken Paxton for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.1
Yes position
Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by May 20, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91
Yes position
Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 54.7% 2,513.2 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 53.2% 65 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 53.2% 382.65 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 56.6% 2,065.55 shares
- Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 75% 35 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?Yes 31% 74.88 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 8% 105 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 8% 697.12 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 8% 400 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 7% 745.12 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes 25.8% 484.6 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 34% 999.99 shares