Yes position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- User PnL
- -$336
Polymarket Trader
VadeRetro
0xf6d110ca3a91a82389eefde836b3bb82ac1e33b8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $31.71
- Realized PnL
- $1.07K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $957.45
- Potential profit
- $957.45
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Anca Dragu?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $793.43
- Potential profit
- $793.43
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $357.14
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $178.57
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.4%
- Current value
- $30.79
- Potential payout
- $112.36
- Potential profit
- $81.57
- Multiplier
- 3.65x
- User PnL
- $20.79
Yes position
Will Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $71.2
- Potential profit
- $70.27
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$5.13
Yes position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540.03
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.59
Yes position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $154.5
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.02
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.73
No position
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.76
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.11
No position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.97
Yes position
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- $5.69
Yes position
Georgescu banned from Romania election?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
No position
Will Trump create 'gold card' citizenship before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Jazz
Ends Apr 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
No position
Will Facebook implement "community notes" before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Purdue position
High Point vs. Purdue
Ends Mar 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will Trump announce tariffs on China on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Wisconsin position
Montana vs. Wisconsin
Ends Mar 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will anyone audibly fart during Digital Asset Summit?
Ends Mar 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.48
Yes position
Will Anamaria Gavrilă win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.62
Yes position
Will Anton Pisaroglu win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.14
Yes position
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.36
Yes position
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 8.5% 71.2 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 45.3% 186.15 shares
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 8.9% 112.36 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 53.7% 186.15 shares
- Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 5% 125 shares
- Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 26.5% 375 shares
- Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 20% 500 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes 14% 357.14 shares
- Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 1.3% 1,120.09 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 9.4% 957.45 shares
- Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?Yes 18% 55.56 shares
- US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Yes 27% 1,244.44 shares